Thursday, August 25, 2011

Hurricane Irene as of Noon on August 25th...via satellite imagery...

Forecast Track as of 11 a.m. 8/25/11

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Tropical Ridge Neighborhood Association - Fundraising Opportunity


Hello everyone!

THIS Saturday, August 27th McMow Art Glass is having is having an "end of summer yard sale" from 8 AM to Noon. McMow has generously offered the Tropical Ridge Neighborhood Association some space for a fundraiser. TRNA Vice-President Robert Elliott has purchased water, lemonade, iced tea and cookies to be sold at the event. What we need are just a handful of residents or members who can spend an hour or two working our booth. Proceeds from the fundraiser will go towards off-setting the cost of getting the Association T-shirts printed.

McMow Art Glass is located at 701 North Dixie Highway. We look forward to your participation!

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Sources: State talking to FEC about running Tri-Rail; cutting Tri-Rail board out of talks

More meetings out of the public eye...not sure what implications this will have south of West Palm Beach in terms of future passenger service on the FEC (eastern tracks.)  Click title for link.

Click here for City Manager's response regarding Ms. Dee McNamara's Complaint to the Inspector General's Office...


An entertaining letter to read...I am not sure this one is going any farther.

From Alex Sink's FaceBook Page:


Take note those of you who work at 7 N. Dixie Hwy...especially the part about "disregard for transparency."

Inquiry into Gov. Rick Scott's deleted transition e-mails opens amid complaint from Alex Sink - St. Petersburg Times

More evidence that public means everything in Florida government is open to the citizenry. There are no "degrees" of what is public and what is not so public, unless it relates to confidential employee information and closed door sessions related to legal matters. However, even those closed meetings are not off-limits forever and will eventually be made available for public inspection.

Note to Ms. Stanton and the crew at 7 N. Dixie Hwy. - let the truth set you free! Click title for link to article.

Irene Forecast Track as of 5 a.m. 8 23 11


Monday, August 22, 2011

Sunday, August 21, 2011

Irene Forecast Track as of 5 a.m. 8/22

From the National Hurricane Center:


HURRICANE IRENE DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092011
500 AM AST MON AUG 22 2011

IRENE HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS
DESPITE ITS INTERACTION WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF PUERTO
RICO...AND A RAGGED EYE HAS BECOME APPARENT IN IMAGERY FROM THE FAA
TERMINAL DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR. ALSO...LARGE PATCHES OF DOPPLER
VELOCITY VALUES AS HIGH AS 75-82 KT AT 1000-1500 FT AND 85-91 KT 
AT 2000-3000 FT HAVE BEEN INDICATED NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST OF THE
CENTER OVER WATER FOR THE PAST 2 HOURS...WHICH EQUATES TO AT LEAST
65-KT SURFACE WINDS. SOME DOPPLER VELOCITIES AS HIGH AS 72 KT HAVE
ALSO BEEN DETECTED AT 500-600 FT OVER WATER. AS A RESULT OF THESE
DATA...IRENE HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE 2011
ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON.

TRENDING THROUGH ALL OF THE WOBBLES IN THE TRACK OVER THE PAST 6
HOURS YIELDS AN AVERAGE MOTION OF ABOUT 290/10 KT. UPPER-AIR DATA
AT 00Z INDICATE 500 MB HEIGHTS HAVE NOT CHANGED AT BERMUDA IN THE
PAST 24 HOURS...WHICH SUGGESTS THAT THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE
NORTH OF IRENE REMAINS QUITE STRONG. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO
CHANGE LITTLE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS OR SO...WHICH WOULD ACT TO KEEP
IRENE MOVING IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION OFF THE
NORTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING AND JUST SKIRTING THE
NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA LATER TODAY AND ON TUESDAY. AFTER
THAT...THE GLOBAL MODELS DIVERGE ON THE SPECIFICS OF HOW LARGE A
BREAK OR WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DEVELOPS OVER FLORIDA
AND THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AT 72 HOUR AND BEYOND...WHICH WILL ALLOW
IRENE TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD. THE ECMWF...NOGAPS...AND GFDN MODELS
ARE THE RIGHTMOST OF THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE SUITE AND KEEP IRENE
WELL EAST OF FLORIDA...WHEREAS THE UKMET AND THE GFDL MODELS ARE
THE LEFTMOST OF THE MODELS AND TAKE IRENE NEAR THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA. THE GFS AND THE REST OF THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE IS TIGHTLY
PACKED BETWEEN THESE TWO EXTREMES AND TAKE IRENE THROUGH THE
BAHAMAS AND JUST OFF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. WHAT IS NOTEWORTHY IS
THAT ALL OF THE GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS AGREE THAT THE OUTFLOW
OF IRENE WILL CONVERGE WITH WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL
MID-LATITUDE FLOW OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES BY 96 HOURS AND
BEYOND. THIS UPPER-LEVEL MASS CONFLUENCE COULD MAINTAIN THE MID- TO
LOW-LEVEL RIDGE A LITTLE BIT STRONGER AND LONGER THAN WHAT NOGAPS
AND THE ECMWF ARE FORECASTING...WHICH WOULD IN TURN KEEP IRENE A
LITTLE CLOSER TO THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. AS A RESULT...THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST TRACK WAS ONLY SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST OF THE
PREVIOUS TRACK AND IS NEAR THE CONSENSUS MODELS TVCN AND TVCA.

IT NOW APPEARS THAT IRENE WILL NOT INTERACT WITH HISPANIOLA AS MUCH
OR AS LONG AS PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. THIS WILL ALSO RESULT IN MORE
STRENGTHENING THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. IRENE IS FORECAST BY ALL OF
THE MODELS TO HAVE A VERY IMPRESSIVE OUTFLOW PATTERN THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD...INCLUDING A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH/LOW ABOUT
1200 NMI EAST OF THE CYCLONE ACTING AS A MASS SINK. WITH IRENE ALSO
EXPECTED TO BE OVER SSTS NEAR 30C AFTER 48 HOURS...SIGNIFICANT
STRENGTHENING COULD OCCUR. HOWEVER...THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY WILL
REMAIN ON THE CONSERVATIVE SIDE DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY IN HOW MUCH
IRENE WILL INTERACT WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF HISPANIOLA FOR
THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS A BLEND OF
THE SHIPS/LGEM MODELS AND THE HWRF/GFDL MODELS. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE
IMPRESSIVE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW PATTERN EXPECTED ACROSS IRENE...IT
WOULD NOT SURPRISE ME IF THIS CYCLONE BECAME A MAJOR HURRICANE AT
SOME TIME DURING ITS LIFETIME LIKE THE GFDL AND HWRF MODELS ARE
FORECASTING.

IT IS IMPORTANT NOT TO FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK...
ESPECIALLY AT DAYS 4 TO 5...SINCE THE MOST RECENT 5-YEAR AVERAGE
ERRORS AT THOSE FORECAST TIMES ARE 200 AND 250 MILES...
RESPECTIVELY.

HURRICANE IRENE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092011
550 AM AST MON AUG 22 2011

CORRECTED TIME IN DATE/STIME HEADER

PRELIMINARY REPORTS INDICATE THAT WIDESPREAD TREE AND POWERLINE
DAMAGE HAS OCCURRED ON PUERTO RICO...AND MORE THAN 800 THOUSAND
HOMES ARE WITHOUT POWER ON THE ISLAND. 

ALSO...FAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATES WINDS TO NEAR MAJOR
HURRICANE STRENGTH ARE NOW OCCURRING IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
THE INTERIOR MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS OF PUERTO RICO.

Lake Worth plan would charge $60 per residence to help pay fire pension costs

This is from the PBP regarding the proposed assessment for fire services. Stanton says that we will likely stay with the County. Click title for link.

Special College Park Meeting tomorrow night 6:30 (Monday)

Hello Neighbors,

Many of our neighbors are on the City's email list and receive regular reports from the City Manager. All of you received an update yesterday from College Park concerning the Fire, Stormwater and Refuse assessments which were included inb the City Manager's latest report. The board has heard from many people who would like more more information on these matters.

Because the City Commission will be voting on the fire assessment this coming Tuesday, The Board has arranged for a Special Meeting tomorrow (Monday, August22) at our regular meeting place, the First Congregational Church, 1415 North K Street. The meeting will start at 6:30 and last for one hour.

The purpose of this meeting is to familiarize ourselves with these new and/or increased assessments before the budget is finalized so that we can share our concerns and questions with the Commission. We will have copies of the City Manager's report on hand.

Please share this notice with your friends and neighbors who may not be on our email distribution list.